NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF LAG INFLUENCE OF ENSO ON EAST-ASIAN MONSOON

By prescribing sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) over eastern equatorial Pacific in January-March, the lag influence of ENSO (El Nino and La Nina) on monsoon over East Asia has been studied. The results suggest that, due to the excitation of atmospheric low-frequency oscillation by the SSTA, ENSO has significant lag influence on the monsoon over East Asia.During the summer after El Nino, the subtropical high over western Pacific is intensified and shows the northward and westward displacement, meanwhile, the rainfall over East China is below normal, especially in North China; during the winter after El Nino, both the Asian trough and the winter monsoon over East Asia are strengthened. During the summer after La Nina, the anomalous subtropical high prevails over the lower reaches of Yangtze (Changjiang) River, the rainfall between Yangtze and Huaihe Rivers is below normal; during the winter after La Nina,both the Asian trough and the winter monsoon over East Asia are weaker. Compared with La Nina, the effect of El Nino is stronger, but it is not always opposite to the one of La Nina.