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期待低碳技术带来的意想不到的破坏力Expect the Unexpected The Disruptive Power of Low-carbon Technology 期待低碳技术带来的意想不到的破坏力Expect the Unexpected The Disruptive Power of Low-carbon Technology

期待低碳技术带来的意想不到的破坏力Expect the Unexpected The Disruptive Power of Low-carbon Technology

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  • 更新时间:2021-09-09
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实现气候稳定需要全球能源部门进行深入而广泛的变革。然而,化石燃料行业的预测继续显示,未来的能源系统与今天的变化不大。尽管低碳转型对能源行业造成了破坏。这个情景分析是由碳跟踪系统和伦敦帝国理工学院的格兰瑟姆研究所合作完成的,并探讨了太阳能光伏发电(PV)和电动汽车(ev)对未来煤炭、石油和天然气需求的影响程度。本研究的结果应激励能源公司及其投资者停止使用“照常营业”(BAU)方案,并进一步整合对下行需求方案的考虑。

Achieving climate stability will require deep and widespread changes in the global energy sector. Fossil fuel industry projections, however, continue to show a future energy system with few changes to that of today. This is in spite of examples of disruption in the energy sector at the hands of the low-carbon transition. This scenario analysis was produced in partnership between Carbon Tracker and the Grantham Institute at Imperial College London and explores the extent to which ongoing cost reductions could see solar photovoltaics (PV) and electric vehicles (EVs) impact future demand for coal, oil and gas. The fndings of this study should motivate energy companies and their investors to retire the use of business as usual (BAU) scenarios and further integrate the consideration of downside demand scenarios.

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