资源与能源季刊2018年3月Resources and Energy Quarterly March 2018

澳大利亚的资源和能源出口收入预计将在2017 - 2018年创下历史新高，增加210亿美元至2300亿美元。  The 司机 broad-based. 出口 收入 的 增加液化天然气预计将成为出口收入增长的最大贡献者，其次是冶金煤和动力煤。铁矿石、石油和一些贱金属也将作出重大贡献。  Commodity 价格 预计 将 会 从 2018 - 19 , 铁矿石 和 炼焦 煤 价格 下跌 有 最大 的 影响 预计 实际 出口 earnings.从2019 - 2020年，澳大利亚的资源和能源出口收入预计将稳定在2,130 - 2,160亿美元。  While 大宗 商品 价格 预计 将 漂移 lower, 前景 不是 homogenous.商品处于商品价格周期的不同阶段。预计澳大利亚一些主要的资源和能源出口将出现价格上涨，其他的则会出现价格下跌。  The 生产 阶段 的 矿业 繁荣 被 定义 为 生产 和 出口量 迅速 增长 — 一 个 遗产 应该 持续 数十 年 来 的然而，到本世纪初，澳大利亚出口的增长预计将基本告一段落，标志着澳大利亚资源和能源行业一个非凡时代的结束。

Australia’s resources and energy export earnings are forecast to reach record highs in 2017–18, increasing by $21 billion to $230 billion. 

 The drivers of this increase in export earnings are broad-based. LNG is expected to be the largest contributor to the growth in export earnings, followed by metallurgical coal and thermal coal. Iron ore, oil and a number of base metals will also make a significant contribution. 

 Commodity prices are projected to decline from 2018-19, with falls in iron ore and metallurgical coal prices having the largest impact on projected real export earnings. Australia’s resources and energy export earnings are projected to level out at $213-216 billion from 2019–20 onwards. 

 While commodity prices are expected to drift lower, the outlook is not homogenous. Commodities are at different stages of the commodity price cycle. Price rises are projected for some of Australia’s major resources and energy exports, and price falls for others. 

 The production phase of the mining boom has been defined by rapid growth in production and export volumes — a legacy which should last for decades to come. By the turn of this decade, however, the ramp up in Australia’s exports is expected to have largely run its course, marking the end of an extraordinary era for our resources and energy sector.