首页 > 资料下载 > 从煤到天然煤的转变会产生什么影响阿尔伯塔省的燃气发电阿尔伯塔电力系统的价格运营商系统边际价格电？What effect will the shift from coal to natural

从煤到天然煤的转变会产生什么影响阿尔伯塔省的燃气发电阿尔伯塔电力系统的价格运营商系统边际价格电？What effect will the shift from coal to natural

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更新时间：2021-09-15
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这篇论文将研究目前和正在进行的在加拿大阿尔伯塔省将煤转变为天然气作为主要发电来源的影响。艾伯塔省电力系统运营商“AESO”(2014)预测，到2022年，艾伯塔省将需要7000兆瓦的新发电能力，其中约5000兆瓦的新需求将来自于燃煤发电厂的退役。发展再加上向更清洁的燃气发电的转变，意味着到2022年，新一代发电的需求将增加51%。这种发电方式的转变可能会对我们预测的未来电力价格产生重大影响。考虑到新一代的大量资本需求、新一代需求的大幅增长以及这些资产的长寿命，对发电商来说，对其价格预测能力有信心是至关重要的。

This paper will examine the effect of the current and ongoing switch from coal to natural gas as the primary source of electrical generation in the Province of Alberta, Canada. The Alberta Electric System Operator “AESO” (2014) has forecast that the Province will need 7,000 megawatts of new power generation by 2022 — and about 5,000 MW of that new demand is expected to be due to the retirement of coal-fuelled power plants. Growth combined with a shift toward cleaner gas fired generation means a 51% increase in new generation will be required by 2022. This shift in generation is likely to have a significant effect on how future power prices our forecast. Given the large capital requirements for new generation, the substantial increases in new generation required, and the long life of these assets it is critical for generators to have confidence in their price forecasting ability. The basis for this paper is determination of the effects of the shift toward natural gas in the Alberta generation market will have on prices and forecasting methodology and drivers

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从煤到天然煤的转变会产生什么影响阿尔伯塔省的燃气发电阿尔伯塔电力系统的价格运营商系统边际价格电？What effect will the shift from coal to natural

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