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油价下跌如何影响石油与可再生燃料的竞争力?How Lower Oil Prices Impact the Competitiveness of Oil with Renewable Fuels 油价下跌如何影响石油与可再生燃料的竞争力?How Lower Oil Prices Impact the Competitiveness of Oil with Renewable Fuels

油价下跌如何影响石油与可再生燃料的竞争力?How Lower Oil Prices Impact the Competitiveness of Oil with Renewable Fuels

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  • 更新时间:2021-09-17
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自2014年年中以来,油价的大幅下跌引发了人们的疑问,即廉价原油的供应是否会破坏向无碳能源的发展,而无碳能源在过去十年里一直在积聚势头,对稳定世界气候至关重要。石油价格可以从几个方面影响替代能源的发展。在交通运输方面,较低的油价可能会降低生物燃料的竞争力,近年来,生物燃料已经对汽油等传统燃料产生了冲击。较低的汽油价格也会降低消费者购买电动汽车的积极性,目前,电动汽车的购买成本较高,但运行成本较低。在电力市场,如果将钻井平台从石油改为天然气,那么降低油价可能会导致太阳能和风能等可再生能源的竞争,其主要途径是导致天然气价格下降。低油价可能导致更多地利用石油发电,取代可再生能源,从而增加化石燃料的排放,这也是可以想象的,但可能性很小

The dramatic fall in oil prices since mid-2014 has raised questions about whether the availability of cheap crude could derail the movement toward carbon-free energy sources, which has been gathering momentum in the last decade and is essential to the stabilization of the world’s climate. Oil prices can affect the development of alternative sources of energy in a few ways. In transportation, lower oil prices can reduce the competitiveness of biofuels, which have made inroads against traditional fuels such as gasoline in recent years. Cheaper gasoline prices can also reduce consumer incentives to purchase electric vehicles, which are currently more expensive to buy but less expensive to run than vehicles with internal combustion engines. In the power market, the major way in which lower oil prices could generate competition for renewables such as solar and wind would be through causing a drop in natural gas prices if rigs were redeployed from oil to gas. It is also conceivable, but highly unlikely, that low oil prices could lead to greater use of oil to generate electricity, displacing renewable alternatives and thus increasing emissions from fossil fuels

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