2007年乙醇工业展望2007 ETHANOL INDUSTRY OUTLOOK

无论如何，2006年是破纪录的一年。乙醇工业打破了生产、产能、需求、销售、建设和公众意识。的确，2006年一年来，公众对美国“石油上瘾”的认识是“开拓新视野”有助于为可再生燃料的未来形成一个新的、更乐观的前景。乙醇工业和可再生燃料协会已经走了多远的证据。4月份，当乔治•布什总统在RFA可再生能源峰会上发表讲话时，他明确指出：“乙醇对整个国家都有好处……我们应该感谢美国人民推广其他方式来驾驶他们的汽车，从而使我们减少对外国石油来源的依赖。我们应该感谢美国人民在使用技术方面的积极性，以便我们能够从碳氢化合物协会。这正是我们要做的。”总统在RFA的演讲是该行业的一个开创性事件历史。但这次活动也以美国总统美国石油学会，红卡瓦尼，谁讨论了石油工业越来越接受乙醇作为高辛烷值混合组分汽油，注意到石油工业现在可以设想一个时间，当乙醇混合到全国销售的一加仑汽油！事实上，华盛顿和咖啡店从大街到华尔街的讨论已经不再乙醇是否有意义，但它能生产多少和多久。事实上这无疑为美国乙醇工业开辟了一个新的领域。新的地平线同时令人惊奇和兴奋，但也具有挑战性和恐怖性。增长的风险和责任至少和奖励一样大。今年的行业展望列举了过去一年的成功，但也为未来的挑战和机遇提供了重要的背景几个月前，美国乙醇工业正朝着更加可持续的方向前进能源的未来还在继续。

By any measure, 2006 was a record-breaking year. The ethanol industry broke all-time records for production, capacity, demand, sales, construction and public awareness. Indeed, 2006 was certainly a year of “Building New Horizons” as the public’s recognition of America’s “addiction to oil” helped to shape a new and more optimistic vision for the future of renewable fuels.  Evidence of just how far the ethanol industry and the Renewable Fuels Association have come was clear in April when President George Bush addressed the RFA’s Renewable Fuels Summit and noted:  “Ethanol is good for the whole country… We owe it to the American people to be promoting alternative ways to drive their cars so as to make us less dependent on foreign sources of oil. We owe it to the American people to be aggressive in the use of technology so we can diversify away from the hydrocarbon society. That’s exactly what we’re doing.” The President’s address to the RFA was a seminal event in the industry’s history. But the event was also notable for a speech by the president of the American Petroleum Institute, Red Cavaney, who discussed the oil industry’s growing acceptance of ethanol as a high octane blend component in gasoline, noting that the oil industry could now envision a time when ethanol was blended into every gallon of gasoline sold in the country! Indeed, the discourse in Washington and coffee shops from Main Street to Wall Street is no longer whether ethanol makes sense, but how much and how soon can it be produced. This fact has most definitely created a new horizon for the U.S. ethanol industry. That new horizon is at the same time wondrous and exciting, but also challenging and terrifying. The risks and responsibilities of growth are at least as large as the rewards.  This year’s Industry Outlook catalogues the successes of the past year, but it also provides important context for the challenges and opportunities expected in the coming months as the U.S. ethanol industry’s now inexorable march toward a more sustainable energy future continues.