日本福岛事件后的选择：未来的核燃料循环路径及其启示JAPAN’S POST-FUKUSHIMA CHOICE: FUTURE NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE PATHS AND THEIR IM

在这篇文章中，David von Hippel和Peter Hayes通过评估日本核能部门的未来和乏燃料管理的三种“途径”，讨论了日本乏燃料在非国家攻击下的脆弱性。然而，就核能部门或整体发电成本、甚至温室气体排放而言，这些路径之间的微小差异，在确定减少日本核能部门遭受事故或恐怖袭击的脆弱性的最佳政策方向方面，并不具有重大意义。

In this essay, David von Hippel and Peter Hayes address the vulnerability of Japan’s spent fuel to non-state attack by evaluating three “paths” for the future of the Japanese nuclear energy sector and management of spent nuclear fuel. The minor differences between the paths in terms of nuclear energy sector or overall electricity generation costs, or even greenhouse gas emissions, are not,however, significant in determining the best policy direction to reduce the vulnerability of Japan’s nuclear sector to accident or terrorist attack.