Discussion on the surplus of coal and electricity in the 13th five year plan“十三五”煤电过剩问题探析

On November 7, 2016, the national development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration held a press conference and officially released the 13th five year plan for electric power development According to the 13th five year plan for electric power development, it is estimated that in 2020, the power consumption of the whole society will be 6.8-7.2 trillion kwh, with an average annual growth of 3.6-4.8%. At the same time, in order to avoid the situation of power shortage affecting economic and social development and the principle of power development being moderately ahead of schedule, on the basis of the expected demand for electricity consumption of the whole society, the plan reserves electric power according to 200 billion kwh to meet the needs of economic and social development. The installed capacity of power generation in China is 2 billion kilowatts, with an average annual growth of 5.5%. The per capita installed capacity has exceeded 1.4 kilowatts, and the per capita power consumption is about 5000 kilowatt hours, which is close to the level of medium-sized developed countries. The proportion of electric energy in the end energy consumption has reached 27%