首页 > 资料下载 > 政策对风的影响 太阳能创新 基于文章计数的新结果Policy Impacts on Wind and Solar Innovation New Results Based on Article Cou
政策对风的影响 太阳能创新 基于文章计数的新结果Policy Impacts on Wind and Solar Innovation New Results Based on Article Cou 政策对风的影响 太阳能创新 基于文章计数的新结果Policy Impacts on Wind and Solar Innovation New Results Based on Article Cou

政策对风的影响 太阳能创新 基于文章计数的新结果Policy Impacts on Wind and Solar Innovation New Results Based on Article Cou

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预测气候政策对能源使用和经济的影响，需要了解它们将如何影响创新。然而，在这一领域几乎没有实证研究。这项研究利用每月发表的有关风能和太阳能创新的相关学术期刊文章数量来填补这一空白。使用贝叶斯逻辑分类法对成千上万的文章进行计数。三篇论文中的第一篇发现太阳能和风能创新随着美国研究和可再生能源生产补贴的增加而增加。生产补贴以可再生能源的生产税收抵免和投资税收抵免的总和表示，其对创新的影响以前从未进行过评估。如第二篇文章所述，风能和太阳能专利在研究补贴方面给出的结果相似，但对于识别税收抵免的影响而言过于粗略。第三篇也是最后一篇文章确定了有关太阳能研究的两种主要类型的单晶硅和薄膜太阳能电池板的文章。这些论文在一起提供了产生文章计数时间序列的新方法。描述太阳能和风能创新的新数据；使未来气候政策模型能够纳入对创新的影响的参数；结果表明，美国直接和间接的政策鼓励了太阳能和风能研究

Predicting the effects of climate policies on energy use and the economy requires understanding how they will affect innovation. Yet, little empirical research exists in this area. This study helps fill the gap, using the number of relevant academic journal articles published per month as a proxy for innovation in wind and solar energy. Tens of thousands of articles are counted using Bayesian logistic classification methods. The first of three essays finds that solar and wind innovation increase with U.S. research and renewable energy production subsidies. Production subsidies are represented by the Production Tax Credit and Investment Tax Credit for renewable energy, taken together, whose effect on innovation has not been measured before. Wind and solar patents give similar results with respect to research subsidies but are too coarse a measure to identify tax credit effects, as described in the second essay. The third and final essay identifies articles on monocrystalline silicon and thin film solar panels, the two main types of solar energy research. Together, these essays provide new methods for producing article count time series; new data describing solar and wind innovation; parameters enabling future climate policy models to incorporate effects on innovation; and results suggesting direct and indirect U.S. policies have encouraged solar and wind energy research

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