

欧亚煤炭市场报告2006-1EURACOAL-Market-Report-2006-1(2006)
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下面的评论和数字只适用于海运世界市场。它们在一定程度上是初步的。由于第四季度的强劲增长,全球市场可能增长约5%,即34-35个工厂。至此,世界市场达到719厂。t,第一次超过了700磨坊。t水平。(初步数据)。动力煤(见表2)动力煤市场分为太平洋市场和大西洋市场。两个市场之间的大宗交易并不重要,其数量约为33家工厂。2005年,太平洋市场对蒸汽煤的需求增长幅度较小。中国出现了一个特殊的发展:中国减少了15家工厂的动力煤出口。并进口了一些额外的7轧机。t来自越南(+4米尔)。t)。中国出口的减少和对22家工厂需求的增加。t可以由太平洋地区的供应商管理,而不会对价格演变产生严重影响。2005年,大西洋市场的增长强于太平洋市场。特别是美国和英国大幅增加了进口。炼焦煤(见表3)炼焦煤市场增长了5%,代表8家工厂。t达到188轧机。需要指出的是,中国满足了72厂不断增长的焦煤需求。用当地35-40厂的煤增加生铁产量。t。焦炭(见表3)世界海运焦炭市场在2005年下降了8个工厂。t和将到达22轧机。在这一年中,动力煤的价格不断下跌,到2005年底,南非离岸价已达到50美元/吨。在2005年(2005年5月至2006年5月),我们观察到“硬焦煤”的历史最高价格为每吨125美元的离岸价。第一份合约显示,“硬焦煤”的价格略有下降(每吨跌10至15美元,视品质而定)。PCI-coal和“半软焦煤”价格大幅下跌,更多地依赖于动力煤价格的演变。
WORLD MARKET The following comments and figures only apply to the seaborne World Market. They are partly preliminary. World Market Bulk evolution Due to a strong 4th Quarter, the World Market could grow by some 5% representing 34-35 mill. t. Herewith, the World Market reached 719 mill. t, passing for the first time the 700 mill. t level. (preliminary figures).Steam Coal (see table 2) The Steam coal market is divided into a Pacific and an Atlantic market. Bulk exchanges between the two markets are of minor importance, the quantity represents some 33 mill. t. a) Pacific Market supply In 2005 the increasing steam coal demand on the Pacific market was on a smaller growth scale. A special development was observed in China: China reduced its steam coal exports by 15 mill. t and imported some additional 7 mill. t essentially from Vietnam (+4 mill. t). The decreasing exports from China and its increasing demand of totally 22 mill. t could be managed by the suppliers of the Pacific Area without having serious effects on the price evolution. b) Atlantic Market supply In 2005 the Atlantic market grew stronger than the Pacific market. Especially the USA and the UK increased their imports significantly. Coking Coal (see table 3) The coking coal market grew by 5% representing 8 mill. t and reached 188 mill. t. It is to be noted that China covered its highly increasing coking coal demand for 72 mill. t additional raw iron production with indigenous coal of 35-40 mill. t.Coke (see table 3) The World seaborne Coke market decreased in 2005 by 8 mill. t and will reach 22 mill. t. Steam Coal The prices for steam coal were sinking during the whole year and reached the level of 50 US$/t- fob South Africa at the end of 2005. Coking Coal For the year 2005 (from May 2005 to May 2006) we observed historic top prices for „hard-coking-coal“ of 125 US$/t fob. First contracts show slightly sinking prices (-10 to -15 US$/t depending on the quality) for „hard-coking-coal. PCI-coal and „semi-soft-coking-coal“ witnessed major prices losses and are more depending on the evolution of the steam coal prices.
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