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煤炭2017年分析及对2012年的预测Coal 2017 Analysis and Forecasts to 2O22 煤炭2017年分析及对2012年的预测Coal 2017 Analysis and Forecasts to 2O22

煤炭2017年分析及对2012年的预测Coal 2017 Analysis and Forecasts to 2O22

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  • 更新时间:2021-09-16
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2016年,全球煤炭需求连续第二年下降,接近上世纪90年代初创下的两年下降纪录。2016年,全球煤炭需求下降1.9%,至5357百万吨标准煤,原因是天然气价格下降、可再生能源激增和能源效率提高大大降低了煤炭消费。自2014年以来,煤炭需求量下降了4.2%,几乎与1990-1992年的下降持平,这是国际能源机构40多年前开始编制统计数据以来最大的两年降幅。2016年,印度和其他亚洲国家煤炭使用量的上升无法抵消美国、中国(需求连续第三年下降)和英国(需求下降超过50%)的大幅下降。在美国,煤炭在电力部门的主导地位因天然气价格低而受到侵蚀;在中国,由于与改善空气质量有关的工业和住宅部门使用量减少,煤炭需求下降;在英国,最近出台的碳价格下限敲响了发电用煤的丧钟。

Global coal demand dropped for a second year in a row in 2016, approaching the previous record for two-year declines set in the early 1990s. Global demand for coal fell by 1.9% in 2016 to 5 357 Mtce, as lower gas prices, a surge in renewables and energy efficiency improvements put a major dent on coal consumption. Demand for coal has now dropped by 4.2% since 2014, almost matching the fall of 1990- 1992 which was the largest two-year decline recorded since the IEA started compiling statistics more than 40 years ago. In 2016, rising coal use in India and other Asian countries was unable to offset large declines in the United States, China (where demand dropped for the third consecutive year) and in the United Kingdom (where demand dropped by more than 50%). In the United States, coal’s dominance in the power sector has been eroded by low gas prices; in China, coal demand has fallen due to lower use in the industrial and residential sectors linked to efforts to improve air quality; while in the United Kingdom a recently introduced carbon price floor has rung the death knell for coal use in power generation.

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