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能源转型与石油企业的艰难抉择The Energy Transition and Oil Companies’ Hard Choices 能源转型与石油企业的艰难抉择The Energy Transition and Oil Companies’ Hard Choices

能源转型与石油企业的艰难抉择The Energy Transition and Oil Companies’ Hard Choices

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  • 更新时间:2021-09-17
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在本篇能源视角报告,文章探讨了国际石油公司(IOCs)能源转型面临的挑战。能源需求报告预测,无法利用现有的经济技术实现《巴黎协定》目标,除非趋势发生根本性变化,否则2050年后很长一段时间内将需要大量石油和天然气。然而,加速脱碳也将面临越来越大的政治、社会和金融市场压力,这将对国际石油公司构成了一个重大挑战。这些国际石油公司目前的业务模式和技术与全面脱碳不相容,其未来脱碳趋势也取决于它们能否成为解决方案的一部分。本文分析了国际石油公司在脱碳领域所实施的一系列投资机会,并指出了国际石油公司面临的一些机会和风险。

In this Energy Insight, we explore the challenges of the energy transition for international oil companies (IOCs). We argue that energy demand forecasts are inconsistent with meeting Paris Agreement targets using currently available and economic technologies and that, barring a radical change in tendencies, significant volumes of oil and gas will be required well after 2050. However, there will be growing political, societal and financial market pressure to accelerate decarbonization. This poses a major challenge for IOCs, whose current business models and technologies are incompatible with full decarbonization, but whose future depends on them being part of the solution. The paper analyzes a set of investment opportunities that the IOCs are pursuing within the decarbonization space and identifies some of the opportunities and risks they face.

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