首页 > 资料下载 > UKERC全球石油枯竭证据审查技术报告2：储量估计的定义和解释UKERC Review of Evidence on Global Oil Depletion Technical Report 2:

UKERC全球石油枯竭证据审查技术报告2：储量估计的定义和解释UKERC Review of Evidence on Global Oil Depletion Technical Report 2:

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更新时间：2021-09-18
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储量定义之间的主要不一致之处在于选择确定性方法还是概率性方法。在确定性定义的类别中，“证明的”和“可能的”等术语被广泛使用，但是这种语言的使用并没有标准化。各种描述性术语都有非常主观的解释。在概率定义的类别中，有一个广泛的共识，即90%、50%和10%的概率水平在报告储量估计时是适当的。如果以允许对估计值进行回顾性评估的方式指定了“已证明的”等确定性术语，则该术语的实际使用可能与相应的概率定义不匹配。

The major inconsistency between reserve definitions is the choice of either a deterministic or probabilistic methodology. Within the class of deterministic definitions, the terms ‟proved‟, ‟probable‟ and ‟possible‟ are widely used, but the use of this language is not standardised. Various descriptive terms are used which have very subjective interpretations. Within the class of probabilistic definitions there is wide agreement that 90%, 50% and 10% probability levels are appropriate to specify when reporting reserve estimates. Where deterministic terms such as “proved” are specified in a way allowing retrospective evaluation of estimates, the actual use of the term may not match the corresponding probabilistic definition.

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UKERC全球石油枯竭证据审查技术报告2：储量估计的定义和解释UKERC Review of Evidence on Global Oil Depletion Technical Report 2:

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