2010年1月石油市场月报(2010)MOMR January 2010(2010)

十二月，原油价格走势出现了两种截然不同的格局。 欧佩克参考篮子在12月中旬跌至两个月低点$ 70.7 / b之后，在积极的经济气氛和北半球天气转冷的推动下反弹，引发了投机活动的激增。 结果，12月份的篮子价格平均为74.01美元/桶，是2009年11月之后的第二高月度价格。 新年篮子价格在1月7日进一步上涨至$ 80.29 / b，为2008年10月上旬以来的最高水平。此后，由于经济担忧，天气温和和库存增加而使价格发生逆转，1月18日价格为$ 75.79 / b。

Crude oil price developments saw two distinct patterns in December. After falling to a two-month lowof $70.7/b in mid-December, the OPEC Reference Basket rebounded on the back of positiveeconomic sentiment and colder weather in the Northern Hemisphere, which triggered a surge inspeculative activity. As a result, the Basket price averaged $74.01/b in December, the secondhighest monthly figure in 2009 after November. The Basket increased further in the New Year to hit$80.29/b on 7 January, the highest since early October 2008. Since then, prices have reversed oneconomic concerns, milder weather and inventory builds to stand at $75.79/b on 18 January.