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超越天堂:放弃价格过山车Beyond theShale: Aboardthe PriceRollercoaster 超越天堂:放弃价格过山车Beyond theShale: Aboardthe PriceRollercoaster

超越天堂:放弃价格过山车Beyond theShale: Aboardthe PriceRollercoaster

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  • 更新时间:2021-09-18
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“碳追踪者”(Carbon Tracker)的碳供应成本曲线显示,在一个完美无缺的场景中,较高的成本和较高的碳供应选择是不可避免的。加拿大油砂和美国页岩等边际产油区,如果该行业误读了需求,就有可能削减资本支出。与任何地区一样,并不是所有的桶数都是相同的,因此我们正在进行更详细的分析,以了解受油价波动影响的变化。许多规模较小的页岩油运营商的高杠杆商业模式也意味着,如果油价无法回升,这些公司维持运营和偿还债务的能力将受到质疑。

Carbon Tracker has produced its Carbon Supply Cost Curves which identify the higher cost, higher carbon supply options which do not ft within a 2˚C scenario. Marginal production regions like Canadian oil sands and U.S. shale are frmly in the frame for cuts in capex if the industry misreads demand. As with any region, not all barrels are the same, hence we are conducting this more detailed analysis to understand the variation in exposure to oil price volatility. The highly leveraged business model of many of the smaller shale operators also means that the ability of these companies to sustain operations and service debt if oil prices do not recover is in question.

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